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Re: "The 5x14 Theory: An Investigation" part II

251
mmfilesi wrote:
To be precise, they speak of "70 cards", which fits with a 5x14 deck. But it is possible, to interpret it as
Sorry, I meant this:
1441 [1st of January payment to Sagramoro for painting "14 figure"]:
E adi deto (1 gennaio) lire due, soldi cinque marchesani, contanti a Magistro Iacopo de Sagramoro depintore per XIIII figure depinte in carta de bambaxo et mandate a Madama Bianca da Milano per fare festa la scira de la Circumcisione de l'anno presente... L.II.V.
... alright. For this document, the deciding word "playing card" or "Trionfi card" is missing, so its more attackable, though, considering the overall conditions (Bembo deck, 70 cards note especially, the accompanying Trionfi documents in 1442 and wedding October 1441), it gets plausibility. But without Bembo deck and 70 cards note it would be rather risky to talk of a 5x14 deck or playing cards at all. So it stands not alone and by itself.
The cards 70 note is far stronger, but without the Bembo cards it would be easily attackable as a writing error. ...
I would estimate it to at least 99:1
Sorry Huck, could explain why? I am very interested in your opinion on this matter.
The easy way to explain it, is, that

1111111111111111111111 understood as binary number is something like ca. 4.000.000 (2^22)

and that

1111111111101100000010 is a rather rare unusual case of a binary number (very long unbroken row of 1)

The row is created, when you identify the first "1" with Fool and the following "1" with the row of the Marseille Tarot. Then you take the cards of the PMB, which were painted by the first artist (which is assumed to have been Bembo) and you'll get the above noted "unusual case of a binary number".

Too unusual for an accident. Or better, it's not probable, that the row was generated by accidental loss of some cards. This probability is far lower than 1:99, but there is a risk, that a sorted loss happened or an unknown intention. Most probable it seemed, that it happened by development. 5x14 is a logical playing card deck structure before 4x14+22, if you assume as the beginning something like 4x13 or similar. It's a logical state between the both other accepted states.

Well, the first check at the then known data gave no contradiction to the idea, in contrast further insights confirmed the hypothesis. The six added cards were partable in two triades, sun-moon-star and 3 missing cardinal virtues (Justitia was given - it became necessary to interpret World as Prudentia). Very unusual for an accident.
The calculation said: At least 99% probability, that the 5x14-theory is the correct "reading" of the 70 Bembo cards (nowadays only 68 remain).

... :-) most people don't understand, that 4.000.000 is really a very high number ... but they believe, that 1:99 is a very bad chance ... :-)

Anyway, in the development of research arrived confirmations and no real contradictions. Ross has another opinion about it.

.. .-) the chess tarot theory has in comparison far less chances to be true, but nonetheless it seems, that it has some probability.

Re: "The 5x14 Theory: An Investigation" part II

252
so its more attackable,
I understand, thanks. (Anyway, in the text are"figures", "bambaxo paper", "Christmas" (and we know Christmas its a good time to play cards > vd. the two letters of Francesco Sforza)... is easy to imagine 14 cards.
The easy way to explain ...
Great, thanks. Now I understand your argument.

*********

Another cuestion, why we should think of PMB 14 + 6 instead 16 + 6 or 14 + 8?

Assume, provisionally, 5x14 is true. Why they added 6 cards? We know a structure of 20 trionfi?

Its not more reasonable, they added 16 + 6 or 14 + 8 to fit the new structure, already fashion c.1470, of 22?

Re: "The 5x14 Theory: An Investigation" part II

253
mmfilesi wrote:
so its more attackable,
I understand, thanks. (Anyway, in the text are"figures", "bambaxo paper", "Christmas" (and we know Christmas its a good time to play cards > vd. the two letters of Francesco Sforza)... is easy to imagine 14 cards.
The easy way to explain ...
Great, thanks. Now I understand your argument.

*********

Another cuestion, why we should think of PMB 14 + 6 instead 16 + 6 or 14 + 8?

Assume, provisionally, 5x14 is true. Why they added 6 cards? We know a structure of 20 trionfi?

Its not more reasonable, they added 16 + 6 or 14 + 8 to fit the new structure, already fashion c.1470, of 22?
It are factually 20 special cards, not 22, in the PMB.

It more or less definitely had been 14 special cards before, ignoring the 16-special-card-versions (the 14-card version developed to Tarot, the 16 card version stranded as a side path, cause it did contain cards, which weren't prolonged by Tarot).

Well, the research asked mainly for the development of Tarot, not for Minchiate (which contained the additional motifs of Cary-Yale).
It was detected, that the Medici had 6 palle in their heraldic.
It was detected, that the "6 palle" developed 1465, before it had been 7 palle or other numbers.
It was detected, that Lorenzo de Medici had been 1465 in Milan.
It was detected, that Lorenzo de Medici was noted in Minchiate context (1466 letter of Pulci).
The role of Pulci in the education of Lorenzo di Medici became apparent.

etc. with other small refinements.

The Medici had 6 palle, not 8. The Medici participated in the development, this became a major suggestion, and it was a favored research point.

Rather late was discovered, that the postulation of the 5x14 and PMB analysis, that "World" must be Prudentia, was confirmed by the halo of the virtues in the Charles VI deck. The World card in Charles VI deck had a halo, this was already discovered by others.

Then it was changed by recognition of various persons, that the Charles VI deck should have been from Florence and not from Ferrara, as traditional researchers had postulated. Then it became clear, first by hypothesis, later with more security, that the Charles VI was complete with its extant 16 cards, and that it probably was made 1463. And that the 16 cards structure presented a chess model, as it was already speculated with insecurities long time for the Cary-Yale. This happened in winter 2008.

Before it was assumed, that something with 22 happened short after 1465. It was assumed, that the change happened ca. 1468, for the marriage of Galeazzo Maria Sforza with Bona of Savoy, though it was assumed, that it didn't contain a devil and didn't contain a Tower, which possily developed 1477). But in the same winter 2008 it turned clear, that Boiardo's poem (the first evidence for an existence of the 4x14+22-structure) likely was done in 1487 for the marriage of Lucrezia d'Este and Annibale Bentivglio. Sooo ... late, that was astonishing.

Doubts started about the 1468 assumption. Later it was discovered, that Minchiate, the Lorenzo Spirito production, Boiardo poem and Sola Busca Tarocchi (although the both latter already all contained a 10-pairs-model, which might have had its reason in a dominant 2x10-model, which should have preceded for a longer time the later 22-version. The period of 1465-1468 would have been too short to cause this. The first version o this development might have been the PMB-version with 20 cards.

Then the research about chess started, and it became apparent, that a lot of chess variants existed, more, as one would innocently imagine, when following the main stream of chess history representation. Between the chess variants were also the Great-Chess-versions, mainly played at the Decimal-board with 10x10 fields. Ten pawns, 10 chess officers, there we have the 10 pairs-model.
And it was discovered, that also the 14 Bembo special cards and the Hofämterspiel were infected by the Chess-virus, so all old evidence for Tarot history somehow might have been related to Chess. The society, whose product we research (Tarot), had much sense for snobism and elitary things and the wish for exclusive objects, when normal citizens played chess, it was not illogical to experiment with things, which the public didn't know. Great chess, 10x10 ... it never became a big hit for the public.

... :-) ... is so far your question answered?

Re: "The 5x14 Theory: An Investigation" part II

254
... is so far your question answered?
:) Thank you very much for this reply. Great Huck! %%-

I understand the argument. But I see problems.

However, before answering, I need to know:

a) Why don't included the minchiate in this analysis? What date estimates for the deck with 41 triumphs?

b) Why don't included tarochino of Bologna in this analysis?

c) What date estimates for the Sermones de Ludo cum aliis?

Re: "The 5x14 Theory: An Investigation" part II

255
mmfilesi wrote: a) Why don't included the minchiate in this analysis? What date estimates for the deck with 41 triumphs?
The name Minchiate appears 1466, 1471, 1477 - without information about the structure.
"Sminchiate" appears 1526, then with "200 cards", either meant as a joke (meaning "simply too much cards to shuffle" or true for the given date)
The oldest known structural information is from ca. 1550 (?), at least much later, then called Germini.
We have not enough information to be sure about the early appearance. Somehow it might be, that it belongs to the 10-pairs-phase (which somehow is in the 1470's and 1480's).
b) Why don't included tarochino of Bologna in this analysis?
First note "Tarocchino" ca. 1550. Too late. First known decks possible late, maybe about 1510 or so. Too late.
Trionfi card productions known since 1459, a German producer. Missing "high nobility" at a critical time. The existence of a low-cost Trionfi deck with 22 special cards is a fiction around not enough facts - if something like this existed, it likely wouldn't have been called a "Trionfi deck" - cause "Trionfi" was possibly exclusively used for expensive productions. Exclusive Trionfi decks wouldn't have imitated cheap Trionfi decks, cheap productions would have rather imitated exclusive productions.

True is, that Bologna developed later much Tarot production, which might have created the wish, that it was the location of the "first production".
Local interests to change history a little bit to the own city's favor might have been a general disturbing motif.
Well, without doubt, if we would know more old decks, we likely would have evidence of much more creativity, as we can imagine.
But it's rather nonsense to deal too much with "the nothing" to form theories. If one has real objects, either documents or surviving cards, one has enough to do to understand them in their meaning.
It's easy to speculate, that Caesar played Trionfi cards with Cleopatra. Nobody can prove, that this is wrong.

Evidence:
Caesar existed.
Cleopatra existed.
Both knew each other.
Cleopatra came from Egypt.
Tarot cards came from Egypt - Gebelin said so.
Caesar was a Roman. Tarot cards were found in Italy.
Upper Egyptia had 22 districts. These had signs. The signs were presented at the temples.
These signs were the Tarot cards.

Only disturbing are the 14-1500 years between Caesar and Filippo Maria Visconti ... .-) ... no problem, Filippo Maria had even Jupiter and Venus as ancestors.

But they had no paper? No problem, they had cards made of silver, "nice enough for the hands of a queen".

... .-)

Silver cards are real, they existed seldom, but they existed.
c) What date estimates for the Sermones de Ludo cum aliis?
[/quote]

http://trionfi.com/0/p/17/

ca. 1500, Franciscans near Ferrara.

Ercole d'Este showed since ca. 1495/96 interest in Savonarolism (Italian cities had strong local interest to have saints and Savonarola was from Ferrara, so possible a new Ferrarese saint). Savonarola turned against playing cards. They were burnt 1497. Somehow it was possible, that this was taken by Ercole d'Este. Ercole was rather keen to get saints at the end of his life and engaged especially to collect stigmated virgins.

Savonarola was burnt himself 1498, but it was not the end of Savonarolism, and not the end of Ercole's religious interests near the end of his life. Some intensive fans of Savonarola found a new home in Mirandola at the court of Gianfrancesco Pico de Mirandola (nephew of Giovanni Pico de Mirandola, who also had been a fan of Savonarola). Mirandola was Ferrarese territory. Some Franciscans around Ferrara were interested in this movement.
Brothers of Gianfranceso used the religious conflict to attack and take Mirandola in 1502. Gianfranceso escaped. Some fans of Savonarola were killed.
Gianfrancesco took refuge in Germany, requesting help of the emperor, and this wasn't the end of Savonarolism and the whole movement and it wasn't the end of Gianfrancesco as ruler in Mirandola.

In 1505 we've the first use of "taroch" in Ferrara ... after the death of Ercole.

It's not impossible, that the paper was written after 1505, though it uses the old name "triumphorum".

http://genealogy.euweb.cz/italy/pico2.html#A1

Re: "The 5x14 Theory: An Investigation" part II

256
Colossal... Lol. Huck Machine.

Well, now I can reply.

a)
It's easy to speculate, that Caesar played Trionfi cards with Cleopatra
:) :) :) Yes, I know. In fact, Marco Antonio jumped into the sea to end a game of tarot with Cleopatra. If you look at the whites of the eyes of the Emperor, is very similar that the white of the eyes of Julius Caesar.

b)
The name Minchiate appears 1466, 1471, 1477 - without information about the structure.
Right. We will forget the minchiate (provisionally).

b)
The existence of a low-cost Trionfi deck with 22 special cards is a fiction around not enough facts - if something like this existed, it likely wouldn't have been called a "Trionfi deck" - cause "Trionfi" was possibly exclusively used for expensive productions.
This dont know safely. In any case, we will accept your thesis is correct (I want to go elsewhere, not Bologna. Here for Bologna:

viewtopic.php?f=12&t=334&start=20

c)
ca. 1500, Franciscans near Ferrara.
The sermon is intended for normal people, not the nobles. This means that, at least a few years earlier, was already known structure of 22 Tr. If we add Boiardo, 1487, its reasonable to think, arround 1485, the structure 22 is +/- standar. We agree on this?

*******************

We have:

c. 1425: Michelino: 16
c. 1441-1445: CY: 16
1441: 14 figure per Bianca Maria
c. 1451: PMB-Bembo: ¿14? ¿16? ¿22?
¿?: 6 added to Bembo
c. 1465: Fiorentina: 16 (in Huck's hypothesis).

First problem

If the original CY and Fiorentina decks have 16 tr., why didn't add them 6 cards when 22 becomes standar?

Well, maybe, at this time they don't play with this decks. But its strange.

Second problem

If PMB is 14 and added 6, in 20 years we have:

a) Decks of 14
b) Decks of 16
c) Decks of 20

And then, suddenly, all are unified in 22 for the type of Milan (C, Dummet).

This is very strange.

However, if we only have 16 tr. in Milan and then 22, its more easier. More logical. And it can explain:

- Why add 6 triumph? To adjust a deck of 16 with the new fashion deck of 22.
- Why have a tower in the Florentine deck's? because the original deck PMB Bembo had a Devil and the Tower.

Is not more logical?

Re: "The 5x14 Theory: An Investigation" part II

257
mmfilesi wrote:
The existence of a low-cost Trionfi deck with 22 special cards is a fiction around not enough facts - if something like this existed, it likely wouldn't have been called a "Trionfi deck" - cause "Trionfi" was possibly exclusively used for expensive productions.
This dont know safely. In any case, we will accept your thesis is correct (I want to go elsewhere, not Bologna. Here for Bologna:

viewtopic.php?f=12&t=334&start=20
Nothing is totally safe in this world. What you regard as especially insecure in this article? Marchione Burdochi?

Jacopo Sagramoro di Soncino made playing cards - in Ferrara, not in Soncino.
Marchione Burdochi from Bologna sold playing cards - in Ferrara.
It's possible, that Marchione sold cards bought from Sagramoro, who made them. The only other information about Marchione Burdochi seems to be, that Sagramoro had been a customer of him. In merchant-customer relations (especially between artist and merchant) often a deal with exchange takes place. The merchant gives material, the artist delivers art.

Well, it's not impossible, that Marchione Burdochi sold something similar like Trionfi cards from Bologna. Cheap Trionfi cards. Then there's the question: Who imitated whom? Ferrara (expensive) or Milan (also expensive) imitated Bologna (cheap)? This seems not logical.
And we've later lot of evidence of noble production - and missing evidence for this mass market.
Leonello ordered 4 decks in February. It's not illogical, that he allowed Sagramoro to produce a similar edition for a small mass market, let's assume 100 decks, that's a plausible number, the price being about 1/8 of the expensive edition made for Leonello's own circle. A price still too expensive for the mass market, and even noble men would notice it in their purse, if they bought one.
A cheap deck, "not good enough for the hands of a queen" appeared in the camp of Marcello 1448/1449 around Milan. Possibly an old Ferrara edition.
After years of no recorded card production in Ferrara (it's a phase of stronger card prohibition) Leonello hastily ordered 3 decks in March 1450 from Sagramoro, which he (probably) needed as a present for Francesco Sforza, who just had conquered Milan. The price is a little higher than the cheap deck from July 1442, but only 1/5 of the deck of February 1442. That's a cheap gift considering the importance of the event - nearly too cheap. It's seems, that it was impossible to get something better easily in the short time. If there would have been a running market, this problem wouldn't have existed.
Similar in December 1450 ... Francesco Sforza, mighty duke of Milan with lots of possibilities, wishes to have Trionfi decks for the Christmas season. Damn, he doesn't get one. This doesn't tell, that there is a running market.
Also in December 1450, Florence makes an official allowance for the Trionfi game, and besides that 3 other games are allowed. Alright, this sounds, as if somethig really remarkable starts.
However, Florence had had developed stronger general playing card prohibition during the 1440's, and 1450 had been a necessary release and new tolerance, necessary, cause Florence and Cosimo di Medici wished to get a close connection to Milan and Milan didn't know such strong prohibition.
But the conservative part of Florence didn't easily change and in the period between 1452 - 1458 the Medici (pro-tolerance) lost some of its power. It doesn't seem, that Trionfi cards became a big hit in Florence. In 1450 peace was expected, but the development in 1452 diminished the hope (new wars) and in 1453 Constantinople crashed and a new crusade was discussed. St. Capristanus went to Germany and preached and never more playing cards burnt in Germany than in those years. Even Nurremberg closed its productions, it took something of 10 years to recover from it. We know, that it didn't impress the behavior in Milan and Ferrara (especially not Ferrara, which always had peace long years), but can't say, what it caused in Florence in matters of playing cards.
Generally the peace of Lodi 1454 created an Italian stabilization which endured till 1494, though wars occasionally returned back. But we have an expanding general culture and wealth and with them the playing cards developed. But all this needed some time. Around 1458 Florence voted again pro-Medici and 1463 the allowance of Trionfi cards was repeated (including two new games) ... this new "allowance" might be interpreted, that just two new games appeared, or it might be interpreted (as I do), that there had been a draw-back in the period 1452-1458, which with new confidence and tolerance was recycled in 1463.

1463 was the 14th birthday of Lorenzo di Medici, and the old and sick 3 elder Medici prepared the world for a new generation. So it seems, that this new law welcomed Lorenzo (and his generation and his friends) in the world of the grown-ups. Playing cards were a youth phenomenon - one shouldn't overlook this factor.
Some generations later it was stated, that Lorenzo depraved the youth - the culture-pessimists around Savonarola have this word and it gives evidence, that the conservative party in Florence haven't been totally dead, even not 40 years later in 1494.

Has this answered your skepticism? The Burdochi document stands not alone, there's a world around it. If this Bolognese mass produced Trionfi deck had existed, then Leonello and Francesco wouldn't had their problems to find decks in 1450. ... .-) ... and if it had 22 special cards, then one would see them somewhere, not as late as 1487 in the Boiardo Tarocchi poem.
c)
ca. 1500, Franciscans near Ferrara.
The sermon is intended for normal people, not the nobles. This means that, at least a few years earlier, was already known structure of 22 Tr. If we add Boiardo, 1487, its reasonable to think, arround 1485, the structure 22 is +/- standar. We agree on this?
No, we don't agree on this. The Boiardo deck 1487 and the Sola Busca Tarocchi 1491 give evidence, that the game structure 4x14 + 22 definitely has arrived, but we've no evidence, that it was used for the trumps, which appear in the oldest versions, which more or less all look like chess Tarot.

Actually we've with the dating of the Boiardo Tarocchi to January 1487 the strange accident, that Giovanni Pico de Mirandola published his famous and far better known work in December 1486 ... and Pico was a cousin of Boiardo.
If these both events could be called a somehow "coordinated action" - and this suspicion exists, at least to me and MikeH - then the question is definitely there, if Boiardo imitated or reflected the work of his cousin, or if both by internal discussion developed their model. Pico's "22" is definitely taken from the Hebrew alphabet and has a deeper philosophic approach, Boiardo's work is just a weak poetical play.

But in the case, that Boiardo took his 22-play from Pico or from his own Hebrew studies (which Boiardo had made) or from the close contacts between Ferrarese court and Jews, then there is the question, if the series of the different trionfi-versions already had incorporated the same 22-idea, or if the Boiardo Tarocchi poem is simply the first step in this direction.

A German lot book of 1450 (likely not very far spread) incorporated a 4x22 system. A similar very successful lot book with 4x20-structure appeared from the poet Lorenzo de Spirito in 1482, possibly as early as 1473. The chance is given, that Spirito was inspired by the earlier German system, as around 1473 and later a lot of German printers arrived in Italy and naturally transported earlier German ideas and mixed them new for the Italian market. If the Trionfi series already had 22 elements and this had been a popular version, why should Spirito have reduced the German version from 4x22 to 4x20?
The popular and often reprinted version of Spirito developed with the edition of 1482 ... in 4x20-structure. And one has to observe, that the later Minchiate also has a 4x20-structure ...

1. 40 number cards, parted in 2 suits running from 1-10 and two running from 10-1, so actually 2x20
2. 40 trumps, actually parted in trumps 1-15 + 5 unnumbered "traditional trumps" and 20 new trumps with 4 elements, 4 additional virtues and 12 zodiac signs, so actually also 2x20.
3. 16 court cards, not reflected by Spirito
4. a Fool, not reflected by Spirito.

... and possibly already was partly developed (and existed at least as name)

Understanding this problem it becomes difficult to assume 22 elements for the Trionfi cards before 1482. And from 1482 till 1486 there is not much time. So the Boiardo Tarocchi poem might be the first.

We have:

c. 1425: Michelino: 16
c. 1441-1445: CY: 16
1441: 14 figure per Bianca Maria
c. 1451: PMB-Bembo: ¿14? ¿16? ¿22?
¿?: 6 added to Bembo
c. 1465: Fiorentina: 16 (in Huck's hypothesis).
ca. 500: Chess played with 16 figures for one player
ca. 1280: Alfonso the wise knows decimal chess, 20 figures for each player
1377: Johannes of Rheinfelden 60 cards inclusive "16 lower court cards"
c. 1398: Evrart da Conty uses 16 gods in chess book
c. 1425: Michelino, uses JvR-structure, 16 gods
1.1.1441: 14 figures (Ferrara, Bianca Maria)
c. 1441: Cary-Yale, 16 reconstructed trumps
1452: Bembo with 14 special cards (5x14)
1457: Ferrara with 70 cards decks (5x14)
1463: suspected date of Charles VI, 16 trumps
1465: suspected date for the addition of 6 trumps (to 5x14-deck), caused by visit of Lorenzo di Medici in Milan - 20 trumps now
First problem

If the original CY and Fiorentina decks have 16 tr., why didn't add them 6 cards when 22 becomes standar?

Well, maybe, at this time they don't play with this decks. But its strange.

Second problem

If PMB is 14 and added 6, in 20 years we have:

a) Decks of 14
b) Decks of 16
c) Decks of 20

And then, suddenly, all are unified in 22 for the type of Milan (C, Dummet).

This is very strange.

However, if we only have 16 tr. in Milan and then 22, its more easier. More logical. And it can explain:

- Why add 6 triumph? To adjust a deck of 16 with the new fashion deck of 22.
- Why have a tower in the Florentine deck's? because the original deck PMB Bembo had a Devil and the Tower.

Is not more logical?
They made different decks, cause they hadn't everywhere the same ideas. Painters also didn't paint always the same objects. As long the Trionfi card production was determined by the commissions of very rich persons these probably desired to have their own individual cards and not imitations of the games of others.

All the early worthwhile cards were hand painted, so this individualization was easy. Standard arrived with mass production, but even then the different cities aimed for some specials in their cards, likely this all had to do with taxes.

Re: "The 5x14 Theory: An Investigation" part II

258
Has this answered your skepticism?
Yes, Ja, sí, oui... Reasoning seems unquestionable. I need answer in spanish:

Efectivamente, creo que tienes toda la razón. No se puede partir de documentos excepcionales para construir toda una tesis sobre la producción de cartas en Bologna. Las hipótesis hay que construirlas de forma piramidal: muchos datos que nos lleven a un punto, a la cúspide; y no a la inversa, con un solo dato, ir levantando una pirámide invertida...

The next round of beers, ranging from my account. :)

************
Understanding this problem it becomes difficult to assume 22 elements for the Trionfi cards before 1482. And from 1482 till 1486 there is not much time. So the Boiardo Tarocchi poem might be the first...
Ok. Yes, more or less, I agree on everything. Thanks for this excelent post. Its greatest summary of the cuestion.

PS. You know the original Celestina had 16 acts?

Re: "The 5x14 Theory: An Investigation" part II

260
Hi Marcos,
mmfilesi wrote: Yes, Ja, sí, oui... Reasoning seems unquestionable. I need answer in spanish:

Efectivamente, creo que tienes toda la razón. No se puede partir de documentos excepcionales para construir toda una tesis sobre la producción de cartas en Bologna. Las hipótesis hay que construirlas de forma piramidal: muchos datos que nos lleven a un punto, a la cúspide; y no a la inversa, con un solo dato, ir levantando una pirámide invertida...
Marchione Burdochio does not prove nor even suggest that Tarot was invented in Bologna. His evidence only suggests that it was made there by 1442.

The fact is only that he sold a Tarot pack of moderate price to the Este family in July, 1442. In order to interpret that fact, you have to look at who Marchione Burdochio was and what he did.

Franceschini's edition of the Este records contains the only information about him available. He was from Bologna and as a merzaro (a mercer, a merchant who deals chiefly in fabrics) provided fabric, chiefly taffeta, made of silk. He sold these to the court artist Sagramoro for making painted banners for various occasions. Since this fabric was a Bolognese speciality, it is logical that he brought his wares from Bologna.

Since he brought his taffeta from Bologna, it is likely he brought the cards with him from there as well. Thus my scenario is simple and logical - Bolognese merchant sells Bolognese silks and cards.

Huck doesn't like this, so he posits two unknown actions prior to the selling -
Sagramoro (Este court artist) makes other, cheaper triumph cards (no evidence direct nor indirect),
Sagramoro sells these cards to Marchione (no evidence direct nor indirect),
Marchione sells it back to the Este family.

Such a scenario beggars belief. Why anyone would prefer it to the simpler solution is beyond me. Unless they have a theory to protect - namely the 5x14 theory, Bianca Maria and the 14 cards, etc. By contrast, my explanation, the simple solution, is not based on any theory, it just interprets the evidence in the best way possible. From there, I look to see what the implications are.

Since the simpler solution, that Marchione just sold Bolognese cards, is highly plausible and therefore preferable, it gives indirect evidence that carte da trionfi were made in Bologna by 1442. It says nothing about their time and place of invention, however.

What it does imply, is that if middle-priced Triumph cards were being made in Bologna before the earliest evidence for them in the courts of Ferrara and Milan, then it is much less likely that the game was invented in either of those courts. Rather, just as the Este bought a retail pack of cards from a merchant, it suggests that the courts adopted and adapted the already existing game to their luxurious tastes.

For the time and place of invention I have given other arguments elsewhere, chiefly based on the spread of all the evidence both documentary and physical. It points towards the A or southern order (Bologna-Florence) and the late 1430s. My preference for Bologna is based on the uniqueness and conservatism of the game in that city, and my interpretation of the allegorical meaning of the sequence is based on speculations conforming to the hypothesis that it was Bolognese, and from 1438-1441. But Marchione Burdochio has nothing to do with this; his only contribution is to take the game's invention away from the courts and point southward.

Here is a post from 2006 on Aeclectic Tarot Forum that explains the first part of the reason I theorized for the A type (Florence and Bologna) being the original. I don't agree with everything I wrote then, but it brings up the important ideas. I leave it unchanged for historical purposes.

http://www.tarotforum.net/showthread.ph ... ge=3&pp=20
Bologna (A) appears to have historical priority. This is not proof tarot was invented in Bologna, but it moves it away from Ferrara or Milan.

The argument is based on inferences from the earliest references to carte da trionfi in the Ferrara accounts. The earliest reference (Saturday Feb. 10 1442) mentions four suits and "all the figures" of 4 packs of carte da trionfi. This detail is never done again in any Ferrara reference, so it seems that the deck is new to the accountant, and by extension the court. Four decks also implies that a model is being copied; and the same record also mentions that two sets have green backs, and two red. This implies that the game already had known rules. It all goes to show that game had been in existence before this record for some amount of time. But how long?

From other records of the production of hand-painted decks, we know that an average amount of time for making one deck was about 10 days. Thus, the commission for the first four decks ever mentioned is likely to have been given in early January, 1442.

This date seems significant for the following reason: the SECOND earliest record of "carte da trionfi" occurs in the same Ferrara records on Saturday July 28, 1442. The pack costs about 1/8 of one of the earlier ones, and it is bought for two young boys (8 and 10) in the court by their servant. The important thing for me is that the servant buys it from a cloth merchant, Marchione Burdochio, who happens to be from Bologna.

Now when we go back to early January 1442, when the commission for the four expensive decks was given, which appear to be the first the court ever had, we find this same merchant selling silk cloth (taffeta) to the family on January 2. The taffeta is to be used by the artist Sagramoro, the artist of the first four packs, for banners and other decorations for the sepulchre of the recently deceased Marquis of Ferrara.

So, putting it all together, Marchione Burdochio sells the second deck, at a relatively cheap price; and he is involved closely with the artist of the first decks ever mentioned. Since taffeta was a speciality of Bologna, and wasn't made in Ferrara yet (not until the 1460s actually), Marchione must have been dealing Bolognese fabric. So, as a "merzaro", what we might call a "haberdasher", Marchione sold other things besides cloth. It seems reasonable to think he got these other things from Bologna as well. Since the deck was cheaper, but still had to be profitable, it seems likely that the deck would have already existed in some quantity where his source was. Most importantly, he is near the family and the artist when we suspect the earliest deck used a model was introduced to the family.

In other words, I think Marchione introduced "carte da trionfi" to the Este. And I think he got his decks from Bologna.

This conclusion effectively erases Ferrara from the running for me.

Milan is different, and more inferential, chiefly because the Ducal records that might supply as much detail as Ferrara were lost in 1447. So no help there.

The first record of the card game "Triumphum" in the environs of Milan comes from November 1449. The writer calls it "new" (so at least he has never seen it before) and considers it beautiful and intriguing enough to send as a present to a Queen.

But we know that the game was known earlier than that, indirectly.

The dating of the Cary-Yale is too difficult to rely on to establish chronology. It should have been made during Filippo Maria Visconti's lifetime, since it has his Ducats on the Denari suit. So before 1447. But that's the only ante quem we can safely state.

The fresco in the main hall of the Palazzo Borromeo shows people playing a card game that seems to be trionfi. This fresco is dated to about 1445. The Borromeo were bankers for the Visconti, so if it is a game of trionfi (I think so) we know it was known among the wealthy classes in Milan in the mid-40s.

We know also that Filippo Maria Visconti liked to play chess and cards, and was in general fascinated by intricate and complicated things. We know he was involved in the creation of something like a trionfi deck before 1425 (Marziano da Tortona, who designed the deck, died in early 1425). This deck had different birds representing the suits, and 16 gods in the role of "trumps" (they are not called trumps, but that is stated as their role - they beat all the other cards).

But could Filippo have designed the tarot? My impression, having studied him in depth, is no. He didn't like to have death mentioned in his presence; he didn't like clowns, fools or actors; he was serious. Perhaps most important, I found that his grandfather and father had officially banned the practice of shame painting in Milan, and I have found no indication that Filippo Maria ever used it or tolerated it. In fact he demanded that the Florentines erase theirs that they had made of Filippo's general Piccinino, when he negotiated a peace treaty with them. So given his respect for the traditions of his family, and his dislike of the shame painting, I think it is unlikely he would have put it in a deck of cards.

So, it could still have been invented in Milan or around it, independently of the Visconti, but there is no direct evidence of it, and it was known earlier in Ferrara and it seems, Bologna.

If it was known earlier in Bologna, Milan could have known of the game through either Bologna or Ferrara quite easily, since Visconti relations with Ferrara were intimate, and Visconti actually was Lord of Bologna from May 1438 to June 1443, again through his general Piccinino and the latter's son.

There is no record that the Ferrarese ever used the shame painting, but the Bolognese certainly did. They and the Florentines were the two biggest practitioners of it. In any case, the earliest mention of triumph cards in Bologna is 1459, when a pack is recovered from a thief. Interestingly, a German "master" says that they are his; it seems the German is a cardmaker, which might imply that he made the cards in Bologna (there were many cardmakers in Bologna, and lots of Germans too).

So much for historical data and inferences.

The other side of my argument is from the internal evidence of the rules. In particular, the unlikely rule of the four equal-ranked "Papi", and its existence in Piedmont and Savoy, and the fact that in Piedmont and Savoy the game ranks the Angel (Judgement) card highest, even though they use packs of cards with the Tarot de Marseille order (importing all their cards from France). The fact that they stuck to these rules implies they knew the game from a long time before. And since they were already importing French cards (or at least Avignon cards) since 1505, it seems those rules must have been in place before then.

But we don't know anything about the 15th century Milanese game, we only have some cards, and we're not sure how they're ranked. Dummett and everybody following him assumes (not unreasonably) that it must be the same ranking that is attested from 1543 onward, the "C" order, Lombardy and Tarot de Marseille.

But games suffer both internal and external changes. Internal ones are usually slower, but external ones are applied by force. It happened in Bologna in 1725 when the Papal legate demanded the Papi be changed to Mori. All the old molds were altered or destroyed, on threat of imprisonment and fine. It happened in Sicily in (forget date - 1680s?) when the ruler demanded that the Devil be changed to a Ship, and a few other things (Papessa was already gone from the mother deck of Sicily by then).

My belief then is that an external change happened to the Lombardy-Milanese game around 1500. This was the French occupation, in which I propose that the Milanese market was flooded with the French form of the game, being massively produced, for export, just then in Lyon, Avignon and other places. This games was know as "tarocs" and in Italian became "tarocchi", and is first noted in 1505 in Avignon and Ferrara. I think the Milanese game became "tarocchi" then, in 1499 or 1500, and the style of game changed then.

The important thing in this argument is the force of the external change, and the fact that the French influence was restricted to Milan, and did not affect any other place directly.

My hypothesis is then that the original game spread from Bologna outwards, southwards to Florence and north and westwards to Ferrara, Milan, Savoy, and probably even France, in a few years, maybe a decade or so. The French cardmakers adapted the game the most, since they were the least familiar with its imagery and rules; the same game roughly prevailed in northern Italy until the French invasion, first a short one in 1494 and then a long occupation from 1499-1525. The invasion allowed a huge influx of cards from France into Milan, and destroyed the local makers, who adopted the French model.

This is then why the C order is different from the A (and why the A prevails in Piedmont and Savoy, in the rules, although the cards are French).

The B order is different story, but it all ties in. The problem came with numbering the cards, which the French first did. My thinking is that the C order was invented when numbering the cards in Avignon or Lyon (Depaulis favours Lyon, I Avignon), as follows -

In the old order, from Bologna, if the cards are numbered from Bagatto to Death, Death is number 14. This is because all three virtues are below the Wheel (The Bolognese were the last to number their cards, not until around 1800). So when the French makers numbered them, they had a problem. Their solution seems to have been to split the virtues up, and elevate Temperance above death. So you have a series of 3 x 7, like the A order, but Death can still be *numbered* 13. The World-Angel switch seems to me to have been a French innovation as well.

This pack was a big influence in northern Italy in the wake of the French invansion. The Bolognese and the south were not influenced, but Milan and Ferrara were. Ferrara started to number its cards also (Met. sheets etc.), but interpreted the series differently - they didn't see a 3 x 7 order, just a straight sequence. They weren't under the direct market pressure of the French cardmakers, like the Milanese were, so they could do what they liked. They split up the virtues and gave it a more theological order, in which the Angel is simply the Resurrection, while Justice becomes the last Judgement (I think). Then, I would interpret, a New World.

That's a very brief account of my thinking on these issues.
Ross