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Why do you favour the allegory with respect to Papessa Giovanna? The existence of the 1497 engraving makes me think.
The answer is complex.
Last part first, I think Jacopo da Bergamo's image (or rather his engraver's image) might be influenced by the tarot itself. By 1497 (or was that 1499?), when it was published, printed tarots with images like this must have existed. In any case, it is too late to be an argument for Pope Joan imagery to have *influenced* tarot. At best it might be taken to show that some people took the tarot image to represent Pope Joan, and adapted for a woodcut in a book. BUT - a better explanation for Bergamensis' image is that his engraver adapted his engraving from a manuscript miniature, such as the one I show immediately before Bergamensis (IIRC). In both cases, they are giving the blessing sign, and lack the cross. But Bergamensis' holds a book too, which makes one think back to tarot influence...
I don't know of any studies about the personification of the Church - or "The Faith" - as a woman with a triple tiara. This is a difficult area, but I'll theorize with you here: "Faith" is one of the theological virtues - Giotto shows it, over a century earlier, in his cycle in Padua. No tiara. In the Cary-Yale, the virtue of Faith also has no tiara, but has the Chalice and Host.
My theory is that the virtue "Faith" didn't need a Papal tiara before the Papal aspect of the Church was seriously challenged - that is, during the reformation. Thus, transforming the figure of "Faith" into "The Faith" (the Roman Catholic Church), complete with Papal Tiara (triregno), might have occurred only AFTER the Council of Trent (after 1545), when the Church felt very triumphant indeed.
Are there any times before this when an image of "The Faith" as "The Church" might have been created? Perhaps after the end of the Great Schism (1379-1417), with the election of Martin V? This was seen as a great victory for the Church, so perhaps the generic virtue of "Faith" was transformed into the "The Faith" then - one of the great victories of the Council of Constance was over the schism threatened by John Huss, who questioned the validity of the Papacy. So Constance, and the end of the Great Schism, might have been thought of as a victory for the Faith, and its symbol the Papal Tiara.
But I have no direct evidence of this, and I don't know if I really think it is a good theory. All I can point to, in fact, is the Bembo image itself (very much pre-Tridentine) - thus making a circular argument.
So we are left with the fact that the only papesse images I know of that precede Bembo's are of Pope Joan. Since I can't accept that Bembo is portraying Pope Joan, I prefer to believe that somehow, the image of "The Faith", with a triple tiara, as well as her traditional attributes (as seen in Giotto's fresco for example), existed earlier than Trent.
Why can't I accept that Bembo's image is of Pope Joan? You cite a good reason - she is holding a cross, and the book of the gospels (presumably). These are both traditional attributes of Faith.
Also, although I have shown that images of Pope Joan without a baby do indeed exist, these images are always accompanied by text that identifies the figure as Pope Joan. The tarot has no text, so only context in the series can help us.
There is no context by which we might identify her as Pope Joan - the trump series is not such a narrative.
Weak arguments, I know - especially if you think that Lydgate's "Wheel of Fortune" image shows Pope Joan. This remains to be shown, but if so, then Pope Joan might be in the tarot as an example of a "Fall of Princes" narrative - she quickly rose to the highest power, and was disgraced by Fortune.
I only have one other argument, and that is from the Bolognese tarocchi.
Look at the cards at
http://www.geocities.com/anytarot/earlybologna.html(ignore the numbers, added later to correspond to the tarot de marseille)
These are a few of an early 18th or late 17th century Bolognese pack. They are before 1725, because after that date all Bolognese packs were made to conform to a Papal edict (Bologna being a Papal city then) forbidding the images of "Papi" in the pack.
In the Bolognese pack, these four cards (which we call Papesse, Imperatrice, Empereur, Pape), were never given separate names or numbers and all had the same value in play - they were never ranked.
Also, the Bolognese designs are perhaps the most conservative of all tarot traditions - the earliest recognized of this family are the Charles VI and Catania cards, and the second oldest the Beaux-Arts and Rothschild sheets, dating from 1450-1480 and 1500 respectively. The differences between these cards and the later Bolognese designs is surprisingly little - much less than those between the Cary Sheet and its assumed descendant, the later Tarot de Marseille.
Therefore, I take the "papi" in the link above to be a close approximation of what the Papi in the earliest Bolognese pack, in the 15th century, looked like. So what do we notice?
The Papi are two pairs (they're collectively called "papi", but two are "imperatori"), two Popes, and two Emperors. Looking at the Popes, both look feminine. They're beardless, and young looking. One holds the Keys of Peter and gives a blessing, the other the Cross of the faith and a book.
It doesn't seem like this deck is trying to make a point about Pope Joan. Rather, one seems to be a personification of the Papacy (Keys), and the other the Faith (Cross and Gospels).
Theorizing - I think, for other reasons, that the Bolognese is the earliest type of design. I think also that the two pairs in the "Papi" represent the Temporal and Spiritual authorities, symbolized in a pair themselves, with an allegory of the idea of "Church" and the representative of "Church", and the idea of "Empire" and the representative of "Empire". When the deck came to be copied, a further "pairing" came to be introduced occasionally - male and female. The male authority, and the female allegory. Such a division is obviously common and standard.
One question remains to be answered - why such a pairing? It might seem natural (to pair an allegory with its representative), and that satisfies me. But it might also be that the number of the cards (22 or 21+1) demanded some such arrangement, or even that these four cards are older than the tarot deck as we know it, and were incorporated into the game whole (perhaps related to the "Imperatori" game attested earlier than tarot).
So I finally think that the tarot Papesse is really not Pope Joan, or any historical figure - I think she is an artifact of tarot itself, descending from an allegory of "The Faith".
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The main point in favour of the "personification of the Church" seems to me to be that the figure in the card holds a cross. The cross seems to be never associated to Papessa Giovanna (and the reasons for this are quite clear).
Thank you, Ross!!!!
Marco"
My pleasure. I'm glad you found the images interesting.
I should add that the personification of the Empire as an Empress is also known, but I have no 15th century images of it - my earliest is 16th century (the link about Potestas Imperialis). I have a stunning one from the 17th century also.
Best,
Ross